Science / Open market

Will humans walk on the Moon again before 2030?

1,248 participants124.8k USDC volumeDec 31, 2029

72%chance of Yes+8 pp this week

Yes · Illustrative history

OutcomeChancePrice · USDC

Yes153.85 shares owned

72%

NoNo position

28%

Resolution rules

Ends Dec 31, 2029

Resolves Yes if a crewed mission lands on the lunar surface and at least one astronaut completes a moonwalk before January 1, 2030. An official mission report is the resolution source.

Demo market · Resolution and payouts are not processed.

0xb28d…37f1Yes1h

Four years is a long time in spaceflight. The next uncrewed test is the milestone I’m watching most closely.

Selected outcome

Yes72¢