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Technology / Open market

Will Aurora launch its pocket AI device this year?

842 participants48.2k USDC volumeDec 31, 2026
64%chance of Yes+12 pp this week
Yes · Illustrative history
OutcomeChancePrice · USDC
YesNo position
64%
NoNo position
36%

Resolution rules

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Resolves Yes if fictional company Aurora makes its pocket AI device available for general purchase by December 31, 2026. Announcements and preorders alone do not count.

Demo market · Resolution and payouts are not processed.

The developer kits are already shipping. Hardware usually follows about 8 weeks later. I think the market is underestimating this one.

Selected outcome

Yes64¢